WARNING: This is an automatic computer generated transcript of today’s Speed Webinar. The computer makes some mistakes in its translation and therefore this is NOT 100% accurate. Use as a Quick Reference Guide Only and double check your understanding against your own analysis. Consult your broker or financial adviser before making any investment or trading decisions.

Welcome to the COMMODITIES SPEED webinar for Monday  07 September 2015 

welcome to the commodities speed webinar for Monday, 7 September 2015

Baltic dry index

the forward-looking approach to economic activity has now started to confirm that it’s got some serious issues.

Looking down a 781 but the five wave structure would indicate economic activity tried to get started but now is falling apart.

Now what’s going on in Europe is just terrible and it reminds me of World War II and World War I and the displacement is all due to the west sitting by and leading bad evil people take control of an area while fighting somebody who they shouldn’t be fighting maybe he is a dictator maybe has done bad things but certainly he didn’t go out and hurt other countries and the people that are leaving Syria are basically people who want to stay put because Syria was a really nice country apparently to live in.

So the West needed to go in and kick the sheet out of Isis and they haven’t done that.

And apparently now 46% of all’s higher than 50% of all benefits paid in Sweden now go to migrants.

So Europe is still a basket case and it’s a basket case with people they have to look after now.

It’s a real big issue and I don’t know how this world will cope with it what they should be simply doing is going in kicking the sheet out of Isis.

So we see Chinese economic activity contracting or at least not growing as fast.

The reason it’s not growing is because the demand from other countries is not growing because their economies are no good.

So we are in a bad place internationally and when things are bad internationally people. Buying stuff people. Doing things. Staking risk and they bring their money back home.

The upshot of it is we can’t expect any miracles do happen to help Australia’s situation in the next two or three months.

And the best thing we can do is to start a war to fight back against evil.

And then that will again and then that time they can should downgrade Rio to unstable or unsuitable for investments.

In any event the fact that we can have a war on copper and nickel and zinc and we can get this long-term bullhorns warnings in the following commodities:

lean hogs

coffee

lumbar

Platinum

Sugar

oats

these are all ones that we have had before

bullhorns warnings in gold

 

we have no long-term there pause warnings

 

we have short-term bullhorns warnings in the following commodities

either cattle means

soy meal and we have short-term bear pause warnings in the following commodities:

and federal funds

libor

uranium

uranium breaking up and breaking out China has turned on its reactors or Japan’s turn on its reactors Isis is probably try to get a hold of some weapons in arm Pakistani

and we can expect 38 or 38.44.

Chinese iron ore

Chinese iron ore forming higher highs and higher lows not

where it stops no one knows.

50.59 to 50.54.

That’s the sort of target now if there is to be a war China should be one of the better ones have but it will remain agnostic much like the Americans did until the end of the war when they could see that Germany was in the Europeans cost Germany didn’t have enough money to pay them for their war goods.

 

In any event if Chinese iron breaks down below 45.5 it would be the negative event but at the moment it looks like it set for a bit of a good strong run to me.

It is coming out of a low base ADX so I do think that we should be looking to buy Rio.ASX on this news of standard and Poor’s in that remember they were the one that downgraded America and this when the stock market was hitting its lows

crude oil

crude oil target is down to 42.91 it is doing some sort of corrective activity.

In a war they need crude oil

so possibly the oxygen being sucked out of the system is actually governments preparing to really get serious about meeting with the the Saudi Prince you realise that nothing’s changed because the sorties are actually being aggressors in Yemen and America still thinks that the Saudi way that the array not

the reality is everybody in the Middle East is a problem.

Fusion

heating oil

 

 

 

PHGTrades  

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07/09/2015 9:00am
See Transcript for more details on PHGtrades
©2015 David Hunt
Code
B/S
Entry Date
Entry Price
Stop Loss
Target
Status
ENERGIES…
 
 
XRBZ5
BUY
Brk > 1.507
1.46
1.7855
  
potential
HOZ5
 BUY
 2/9/15
dips to 1.618e
 1.5980
2-2.703
entered
 CLX5
 Buy
27/8/15
 Brk > 40.15e
add dips to 42.91
43.89

or 41.10
 42.86a, 45, 50a
50
add stop 41.29
 entered 1/3 44.40 31/8
buy 1/3
Add > 47.58e
NGZ5
 Buy
 3/9/15
Brk > 2.7410 e or dips to 2.415
 2.652
or 2.33
 3.40
entered
 XTZ5 Aussie
Sell
21/8/15
97.42e
 97.40
97.07
entered & scared sell more brk < 97.20
 ZBZ5
 Sell
31/8/15
 to 157 18^32e
157 18^32
 146-147
entered tp 1/3 155 23^32
 XTM5 -> U5
Buy
 longer dated put options
 Deep OOTM
this can be a September 1
Buy back short at 96.90 in a gamma hedge – filled tp on gamma @ 96.06 f or 97.10
 GRAINS…
 ZLZ5
 Buy
 brk > 29.50
 28.50
 potential

 
 ZR
 
 ZWZ5
 METALS...
 GCz5
BUY
 brk > 1150
 1118
1275
 potential
GCZ5 buy OTM Call OPtions
 HGZ5
BUY
  3/9/15
buy  a dip to  2.15 or brk > 2.40e
1.99 or 2.255
 entered
 MEATS…
 SOFTS...
                            
 SBpot
 Buy
 27/8/15
10.38 or on a break above 10.79 e
11.05
 12.83
entered

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